Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.311623 0.419064 0.537813 0.676528 0.832093 0.999430 1.191396
2025-04-13 0.181038 0.322483 0.498632 0.722654 0.990757 1.293948 1.656154
2025-04-20 0.119699 0.272226 0.480615 0.760993 1.109742 1.515084 2.009529
2025-04-27 0.081413 0.239553 0.475451 0.808136 1.234484 1.740088 2.366000
2025-05-04 0.062397 0.229024 0.495123 0.882949 1.389842 1.998698 2.759353
2025-05-11 0.042247 0.207748 0.494379 0.927233 1.504548 2.206906 3.092267
2025-05-18 0.022735 0.175989 0.471615 0.937181 1.572366 2.355914 3.353073
2025-05-25 0.005212 0.125986 0.409039 0.884014 1.553058 2.394018 3.477798
2025-06-01 NaN 0.084336 0.348979 0.826779 1.522835 2.414439 3.577727
2025-06-08 NaN 0.060189 0.314314 0.803203 1.534726 2.485358 3.737082
2025-06-15 NaN 0.049857 0.306393 0.820507 1.602284 2.626827 3.983011
2025-06-22 NaN 0.036110 0.284874 0.812908 1.633194 2.719983 4.168262
2025-06-29 NaN 0.022054 0.256008 0.792734 1.649050 2.798606 4.342805
2025-07-06 NaN 0.019530 0.262857 0.836095 1.758529 3.001971 4.676423
2025-07-13 NaN 0.017384 0.269920 0.879353 1.867459 3.204234 5.008237
2025-07-20 NaN 0.016311 0.280786 0.929636 1.986978 3.420842 5.358613
2025-07-27 NaN 0.018910 0.307777 1.010212 2.151783 3.697892 5.785773
2025-08-03 NaN 0.017517 0.317062 1.057670 2.267366 3.909650 6.130535
2025-08-10 NaN 0.012499 0.307175 1.068343 2.327705 4.047692 6.381878
2025-08-17 NaN 0.004006 0.263982 1.011321 2.284102 4.045400 6.453948
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000226 0.221733 0.949817 2.230108 4.026711 6.503159
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.198766 0.924441 2.229700 4.078898 6.641509
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.196191 0.943068 2.298414 4.225614 6.901755